In the forex market, the USD/JPY pair exhibited notable strength throughout the week, buoyed by bullish pressure. Analysts anticipate a potential surge towards the ¥150 level, though some caution that the ascent may take time. Despite a current state of being slightly overbought, short-term pullbacks are seen as opportunities for traders, and an initial retracement may precede renewed market involvement.
Conversely, the EUR/USD pair experienced a decline over the week, finding some support around the 1.05 level towards the end. The prevailing sentiment suggests an opportunity for short positions on every rally. Breaking below the 1.05 level might trigger a further decline towards parity, with additional attention paid to the 1.0250 level. Market participants are advised to closely monitor the 50-Week EMA during any upward movements.
Gold markets faced a substantial downturn during the week, with expectations of a continued decline towards the $1800 level. Investor interest in buying gold is low, and short-term rallies are viewed as selling opportunities. The significant drop is attributed to the impact of rising interest rates, as reflected in the size of the recent candlestick, indicating a significant shift in market dynamics.
In the US Oil market, West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil witnessed an initial surge followed by a quick retracement, indicating potential overextension. Despite the pullback, market analysts anticipate a buying opportunity due to underlying supply and demand imbalances. A break above the top of the candlestick could propel prices towards the $100 level.
The GBP/USD pair initially weakened during the week but is showing signs of a potential bounce. Oversold conditions may prompt a British pound rally, but a major resistance barrier is identified at the 1.2350 level. Conversely, a breakdown below the candlestick’s bottom could open the door to a move down to the psychologically significant 1.1850 level, with the Federal Reserve’s cautious stance impacting market sentiment.
The NASDAQ 100 exhibited volatility during the week, attributed in part to the “end of the month markup.” While not forming a clear bullish flag, analysts suggest a likelihood of a bounce. Market dynamics seem influenced by a degree of “groupthink,” with traders continuing to favor top stocks despite reservations about the overall US economy.
The Nikkei 225 experienced a negative week but remained mostly sideways. Observers note a potential turnaround, especially considering the sudden surge higher during the US session close. A rally towards the ¥33,000 level is anticipated, with a breakdown below the ¥31,400 level potentially leading to a decline to the 50-Week EMA.
Against the Swiss franc, the US dollar rallied significantly, breaking short-term resistance. A pullback is anticipated, but the prevailing sentiment is bullish, with expectations of a push towards the 0.94 CHF level in the coming weeks. Shorting this market is currently unappealing, contingent on the Federal Reserve maintaining its current stance.